Gagra vs Guria: result 3-1 and analysis
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on October 28, 2017 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Mtskheta Parki, Mtskheta
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What was the result of Gagra vs Guria?
Gagra won 3-1 on October 28, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 45′D. MegrelishviliGuria (pen.)
- 62′24390Gagra
- 74′L. PapavaGagra
- 84′L. PapavaGagra
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Guria have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2017 | Rustavi(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 12, 2017 | WIT Georgia(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Sioni(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 26, 2017 | Merani Martvili(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 21, 2017 | Tskhinvali(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2017 | Zugdidi(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 12, 2017 | Samgurali(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 2, 2017 | Meshakhte(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Rustavi(home) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 22, 2017 | WIT Georgia(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gagra win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Guria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2017 | Guria 4-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 23, 2017 | Gagra 4-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Guria 0-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Guria 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 13, 2012 | Guria 0-0 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Gagra 1-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guria score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guria | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy