Gagra vs Saburtalo: result 1-3 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 3, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)David Petriashvili Arena, Tbilisi
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What was the result of Gagra vs Saburtalo?
Saburtalo won 1-3 on October 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′L. SilagadzeSaburtalo
- 30′D. GotsiridzeGagra
- 38′L. SilagadzeSaburtalo
- 59′D. AgyakwaSaburtalo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gagra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Saburtalo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Telavi(away) | 0-4 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gareji(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Samgurali(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gareji(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Meshakhte(away) | 3-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Samgurali(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gagra win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Saburtalo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Gagra 0-1 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gagra 1-2 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Saburtalo 1-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 28, 2024 | Gagra 4-0 Saburtalo | Erovnuli Liga |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Saburtalo 3-1 Gagra | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gagra score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Saburtalo score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gagra | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Saburtalo | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gagra sit 8th in Erovnuli Liga (24 points from 22 matches) and Saburtalo sit 3rd (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 34 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy