Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Gainsborough Trinity (1,791) and Cleethorpes Town (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Workington(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Gainsborough Trinity win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cleethorpes Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Cleethorpes Town 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainsborough Trinity | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Cleethorpes Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.