Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cal.Delivery Stadium, Latchford, Warrington
The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Warrington Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Warrington Town (1,702) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrington Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Workington(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warrington Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gainsborough Trinity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Warrington Town 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Warrington Town 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Warrington Town 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrington Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 5 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warrington Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainsborough Trinity | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Warrington Town.
- Where and when is Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cal.Delivery Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.