Gais vs AIK Stockholm: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gais vs AIK Stockholm?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Gais (1,856) and AIK Stockholm (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gais have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; AIK Stockholm have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gais win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 AIK Stockholm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | AIK Stockholm 2-0 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Gais 3-2 AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 28, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 1-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Gais 0-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 29, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 0-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 22, 2024 | Gais 2-0 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: AIK Stockholm vs Gais on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gais score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gais sit 10th in Allsvenskan (23 points from 18 matches) and AIK Stockholm sit 6th (28 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
| 10 | Gais | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gais vs AIK Stockholm?
- The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is Gais vs AIK Stockholm played?
- Gais vs AIK Stockholm is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.