Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eleda Stadion, Malmö
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Malmo FF (1,867) and Hammarby FF (1,965).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malmo FF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malmo FF win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Hammarby FF 4-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Malmo FF 1-3 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Hammarby FF 2-0 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Hammarby FF 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Malmo FF 2-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Hammarby FF 1-3 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malmo FF sit 7th in Allsvenskan (26 points from 17 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF played?
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eleda Stadion, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.