Sirius vs Halmstad: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Halmstad. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirius vs Halmstad?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirius have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Halmstad have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 17, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gais(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sirius win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Halmstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad 0-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Halmstad 0-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sirius 1-1 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Halmstad 3-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Sirius 3-0 Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Halmstad 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Halmstad score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Halmstad | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirius sit 1st in Allsvenskan (42 points from 18 matches) and Halmstad sit 16th (8 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirius vs Halmstad?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Halmstad.
- Where and when is Sirius vs Halmstad played?
- Sirius vs Halmstad is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Studenternas IP, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.