Las Rozas vs Galapagar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Rozas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Galapagar?
On Elo ratings, Las Rozas has 1,819 points and Galapagar 1,740.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Rozas vs Galapagar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Rozas
Not enough data to predict the Las Rozas lineup.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Las Rozas win, 3 draws, 2 Galapagar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Galapagar 1-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar 3-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Las Rozas 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Las Rozas 1-2 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Galapagar 1-3 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Galapagar 1-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Galapagar vs Las Rozas on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Galapagar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (13 points from 6 matches) and Galapagar sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Galapagar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Las Rozas vs Galapagar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Galapagar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Galapagar played?
- Las Rozas vs Galapagar is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 31, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsTrival Valderas
- Jan 31, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsLeganés II
- Jan 31, 2027TorrejónvsFuenlabrada
- Jan 31, 2027Unión AdarvevsAlcobendas Sport
- Jan 31, 2027Real AranjuezvsRC Alcobendas
- Jan 31, 2027Villanueva PardillovsColonia Moscardó
- Jan 31, 2027Cala PozuelovsMóstoles
- Jan 31, 2027Parla EscuelavsSS Reyes II