Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Galapagar played?

Trival Valderas vs Galapagar is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Galapagar

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,723).

Trival Valderas win54 %

Draw25 %

Galapagar win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Galapagar have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Galapagar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Trival Valderas 2-2 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 21, 2025	Galapagar 2-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025	Galapagar 0-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 15, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 17, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 29, 2023	Galapagar 0-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Galapagar on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Galapagar sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Galapagar played?: Trival Valderas vs Galapagar is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.