Match

Trival Valderas vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival ValderasGalapagar

The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?

On Elo ratings, Trival Valderas has 1,810 points and Galapagar 1,718.

55%24%21%
Trival Valderas winDrawGalapagar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Galapagar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Trival Valderas

Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Parla Escuela(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 12, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)5-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas wins, 3 draws, 1 Galapagar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Trival Valderas 2-2 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 21, 2025Galapagar 2-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Galapagar 0-0 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 15, 2024Trival Valderas 1-1 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 17, 2024Trival Valderas 1-0 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 29, 2023Galapagar 0-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Galapagar on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas1.40.849/156/15
Galapagar1.91.6112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 5 matches) and Galapagar sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Trival Valderas53208411
6Galapagar52211088

A question about Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Galapagar?
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Galapagar played?
Trival Valderas vs Galapagar is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Trival Valderas and Galapagar

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