Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Erzurumspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,159 vs 1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Erzurumspor FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Galatasaray win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Erzurumspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Galatasaray 2-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Erzurumspor FK 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Erzurumspor FK 1-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Sep 28, 2018 | Galatasaray 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Erzurumspor FK sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Erzurumspor FK.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK played?
- Galatasaray vs Erzurumspor FK is played on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.