Kasımpaşa vs Çorum FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Çorum FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Çorum FK?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Kasımpaşa (1,920) and Çorum FK (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Çorum FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kasımpaşa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Çorum FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK 0-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Sep 24, 2019 | Çorum FK 0-1 Kasımpaşa | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Çorum FK score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Çorum FK | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 7th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Çorum FK sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Çorum FK?
- The Footlab model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Çorum FK.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Çorum FK played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Çorum FK is played on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.