Samsunspor vs Rizespor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Rizespor?
Samsunspor starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Rizespor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Samsunspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rizespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rizespor 4-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Samsunspor 1-1 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-3 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Samsunspor 3-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Rizespor vs Samsunspor on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 3rd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Rizespor sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Rizespor?
- The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Rizespor played?
- Samsunspor vs Rizespor is played on January 31, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.