Galatasaray vs Rizespor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Rizespor?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,159 vs 1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rizespor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Galatasaray win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rizespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Rizespor 0-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Galatasaray 3-1 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Rizespor 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Galatasaray 5-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Galatasaray 6-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Rizespor 0-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Rizespor vs Galatasaray on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Rizespor sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Rizespor?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Rizespor played?
- Galatasaray vs Rizespor is played on December 6, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.