Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galatasaray wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,083 vs 1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 50G. Yalçın
- 16A. Baldursson
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 14K. Mouanga
- 45A. Karapo
- 1A. Gianniotis
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 21D. Gül
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 27Rafael Leão
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 83A. Batrakov
- 6D. Sánchez
- 4I. Jakobs
- 53B. Yılmaz
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 1U. Çakır
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kasımpaşa have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Galatasaray have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kasımpaşa win, 2 draws, 3 Galatasaray wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 1-0 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Galatasaray 3-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 3-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Galatasaray 3-3 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 3-4 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Galatasaray | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kasımpaşa sit 9th in Süper Lig (10 points from 7 matches) and Galatasaray sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray played?
- Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray is played on March 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.