Gama vs Sobradinho EC: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, Gama, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sobradinho EC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gama vs Sobradinho EC?
Gama starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,537).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gama vs Sobradinho EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gama
Not enough data to predict the Gama lineup.
Sobradinho EC
4-3-3- MMurillo Magno de Carvalho
- JJoão de Deus
- DDouglas Pitbul
- AAndrei Alba
- FFilipe Cirne
- WWerick
- JJaílton de Campos dos Santos
- RRicardo Ferreira de Sousa
- IIgor
- PPaulo Giovani Ramos
- LLeonardo Rodrigues Sales da Silva
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gama have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sobradinho EC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | ASA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASA(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 4-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Jose(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America-RN(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama(away) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Brasília(home) | 1-0 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Samambaia(away) | 0-3 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gama wins, 2 draws, 0 Sobradinho EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gama 0-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Sobradinho EC 0-1 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Gama 0-0 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Sobradinho EC 1-4 Gama | Brasiliense |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Gama 2-1 Sobradinho EC | Brasiliense |
| Aug 12, 2020 | Sobradinho EC 0-5 Gama | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Gama vs Sobradinho EC on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gama score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sobradinho EC score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gama | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sobradinho EC | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gama sit 1st in Brasiliense (23 points from 9 matches) and Sobradinho EC sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 3 | Sobradinho EC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
A question about Gama vs Sobradinho EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gama vs Sobradinho EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gama the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Sobradinho EC.
- Where and when is Gama vs Sobradinho EC played?
- Gama vs Sobradinho EC is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Walmir Campelo Bezerra, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.