Brasiliense vs Paranoá: prediction and stats
BrasilienseMatchday 3Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, Taguatinga, Distrito Federal
The Footlab AI model makes Brasiliense the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Paranoá. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brasiliense vs Paranoá?
Brasiliense starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,436).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brasiliense vs Paranoá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brasiliense
4-3-3- RRomário
- RRafael Longuine
- RRubens
- TTarta
- TTobinha
- MMarcos Júnior
- NNetinho
- GGustavo Henrique
- 6Keynan
- IIgor Morais
- MMatheus Kayser
Paranoá
Not enough data to predict the Paranoá lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brasiliense have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Paranoá have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Primavera MG(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 31, 2026 | Luverdense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 24, 2026 | Inhumas(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Samambaia(home) | 0-6 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-1 | Brasiliense |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Real FC(away) | 5-4 | Brasiliense |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Gama(away) | 1-4 | Brasiliense |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brasiliense wins, 1 draw, 1 Paranoá win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Paranoá 0-1 Brasiliense | Brasiliense |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Brasiliense 2-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Brasiliense 0-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Brasiliense 1-2 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Brasiliense 2-1 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
| Mar 18, 2020 | Brasiliense 8-0 Paranoá | Brasiliense |
Last archived meeting: Paranoá vs Brasiliense on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brasiliense score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paranoá score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Paranoá | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brasiliense sit 6th in Brasiliense (15 points from 9 matches) and Paranoá sit 8th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Paranoá | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Brasiliense vs Paranoá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brasiliense vs Paranoá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brasiliense the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Paranoá.
- Where and when is Brasiliense vs Paranoá played?
- Brasiliense vs Paranoá is played on January 20, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, in the Brasiliense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.