Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Awassa Kenema the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Awassa Kenema wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,221 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,442) and Awassa Kenema (1,527).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Awassa Kenema
4-3-3- 9G. Kebede
- 11T. Hefamo
- 20S. Gacho
- 18S. Bekele
- 8B. Yared
- 18D. Taddese
- 2A. Demissie
- 12B. Tadele
- 6W. Maereg
- 4S. Wodessa
- 22S. Habtamu
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 12:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Awassa Kenema have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Gamo Chencha wins, 0 draws, 1 Awassa Kenema win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema 2-1 Gamo Chencha | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Gamo Chencha on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Awassa Kenema | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Awassa Kenema sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Awassa Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Awassa Kenema the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Awassa Kenema is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Adama KenemavsEthiopia Bunna
- Mar 6, 2027BahardarvsFasil Ketema
- Mar 6, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsMebrat Hayl
- Mar 6, 2027MekelakeyavsSidama Bunna
- Mar 6, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsWelayta Dicha
- Mar 6, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsHalaba Ketema
- Mar 6, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Mar 6, 2027Negelle ArsivsSheger Ketema