Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 23Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hawassa Stadium, Hawassa
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Awassa Kenema, 34% for a draw, 34% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Awassa Kenema (1,528) and Sheger Ketema (1,530).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Awassa Kenema
4-3-3- 9G. Kebede
- 11T. Hefamo
- 20S. Gacho
- 18S. Bekele
- 8B. Yared
- 18D. Taddese
- 2A. Demissie
- 12B. Tadele
- 6W. Maereg
- 4S. Wodessa
- 22S. Habtamu
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Awassa Kenema have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Sheger Ketema have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Awassa Kenema win, 1 draw, 0 Sheger Ketema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Awassa Kenema 1-1 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
| Dec 25, 2025 | Sheger Ketema 1-2 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awassa Kenema | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Awassa Kenema sit 11th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Sheger Ketema sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Awassa Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Awassa Kenema, 34% for a draw, 34% for Sheger Ketema.
- Where and when is Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema played?
- Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema is played on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hawassa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 10, 2027MekelakeyavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Mar 10, 2027Sidama BunnavsAdama Kenema
- Mar 10, 2027Welayta DichavsEthiopia Bunna
- Mar 10, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsFasil Ketema
- Mar 10, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsKedus Giorgis
- Mar 10, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsBahardar
- Mar 10, 2027Halaba KetemavsMebrat Hayl
- Mar 10, 2027Gamo ChenchavsNegelle Arsi