Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 31% for Sidama Bunna. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,569) and Sidama Bunna (1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mekelakeya
4-3-3- 27A. Yigzaw
- 14Mohammed Abera
- 35C. Kudjoe
- 7Bereket Desta Dana
- 10Abdulkarim Worku
- 19C. Gugsa
- 6G. Hagos
- 34N. Hailu
- 2F. Jemal
- 22C. Menberu
- 1Nafian Legason Alionzi
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sidama Bunna have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aiglons(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mekelakeya wins, 1 draw, 2 Sidama Bunna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Sidama Bunna 1-3 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| May 8, 2025 | Sidama Bunna 2-2 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 1-4 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mekelakeya 2-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mekelakeya score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mekelakeya | 0.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Sidama Bunna | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mekelakeya sit 4th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Sidama Bunna sit 17th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mekelakeya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Mekelakeya, 37% for a draw, 31% for Sidama Bunna.
- Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna played?
- Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Adama KenemavsEthiopia Bunna
- Mar 6, 2027BahardarvsFasil Ketema
- Mar 6, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsMebrat Hayl
- Mar 6, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsWelayta Dicha
- Mar 6, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsHalaba Ketema
- Mar 6, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Mar 6, 2027Negelle ArsivsSheger Ketema
- Mar 6, 2027Gamo ChenchavsAwassa Kenema