Gateshead vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Harrogate Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs Harrogate Town?
Harrogate Town starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gateshead vs Harrogate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Harrogate Town
4-3-3- 23B. Dolaghan
- 9S. McCoulsky
- 18J. Muldoon
- 3E. Bristow
- 14M. Williams
- 11W. McGowan
- 24L. Cass
- 4A. Baptiste
- 16S. Dreyer
- 26G. Horton
- 34L. Hutchinson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Harrogate Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Woking(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-4 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gateshead win, 0 draws, 5 Harrogate Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Harrogate Town 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Gateshead 2-0 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Gateshead 1-3 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Harrogate Town 3-1 Gateshead | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Harrogate Town 2-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Gateshead 2-3 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Gateshead on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 24th in National League (4 points from 13 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 2nd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Gateshead vs Harrogate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs Harrogate Town played?
- Gateshead vs Harrogate Town is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.