Harrogate Town vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Gateshead?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Harrogate Town (1,708) and Gateshead (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Gateshead have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Harrogate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gateshead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2023 | Gateshead 2-0 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Gateshead 1-3 Harrogate Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Harrogate Town 3-1 Gateshead | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Harrogate Town 2-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Gateshead 2-3 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs Harrogate Town on Jul 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harrogate Town sit 3rd in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gateshead sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Gateshead played?
- Harrogate Town vs Gateshead is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.