Southend vs Woking: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Woking. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southend vs Woking?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Woking have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southend win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Woking win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Southend 1-1 Woking | National League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Woking 1-1 Southend | National League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Southend 2-2 Woking | National League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Woking 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Southend 0-0 Woking | National League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Woking 0-2 Southend | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Woking score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Woking | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southend sit 1st in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Woking sit 18th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southend vs Woking?
- The Footlab model makes Southend the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Woking.
- Where and when is Southend vs Woking played?
- Southend vs Woking is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Roots Hall, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.