Scunthorpe vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Scunthorpe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Carlisle?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Scunthorpe (1,857) and Carlisle (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scunthorpe vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scunthorpe
4-3-3- 18K. Hurst
- 14P. Jones
- 9J. Norwood
- 23J. Butterfield
- 17D. Batty
- 11J. Rowley
- 21J. Starbuck
- 44R. Barrows
- 33T. Denton
- 5W. Evans
- 25M. Campbell
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Derby County U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Scunthorpe wins, 1 draw, 5 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Carlisle 4-2 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Carlisle 3-2 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Carlisle | National League |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Carlisle 2-2 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2021 | Carlisle 2-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Scunthorpe on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scunthorpe score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scunthorpe sit 22nd in National League (10 points from 12 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
A question about Scunthorpe vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Scunthorpe.
- Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Carlisle played?
- Scunthorpe vs Carlisle is played on March 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.