Match

Gateshead vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear

GatesheadStoke City U21

The Footlab AI model makes Gateshead the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?

Gateshead starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,550).

69%17%14%
Gateshead winDrawStoke City U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gateshead vs Stoke City U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gateshead

4-3-3
  1. 21M. Spellman
  2. 7J. Hiwula
  3. 29F. Issaka
  1. 4Josh Home
  2. 20F. John
  3. 25A. McCalmont
  1. 5A. Lankshear
  2. 3D. Ferguson
  3. 28H. Holgate
  4. 6Jack Robinson
  1. 12P. Jameson

Stoke City U21

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Walker
  2. 12T. Martin
  3. 7Ato Ampah
  1. 7T. Achu
  2. 8G. Morrison
  3. 2A. Dauda
  1. 6Jaden Mears
  2. 5F. Anderson
  3. 5W. Thompson
  4. 4R. Otegbayo
  1. 1Lucas Knight

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gateshead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Stafford Rangers(home)1-1FA Cup
Oct 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)0-0National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)1-4National League
Oct 3, 2026Worthing(home)1-2National League
Sep 29, 2026Altrincham(home)0-1National League
Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Chelsea U21(home)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 13, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)2-4National League Cup
Oct 9, 2026Charlton Athletic U21(home)2-2Premier League Cup
Sep 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 16, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)0-2Premier League International Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Gateshead score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gateshead0.52.318/158/15
Stoke City U211.02.347/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Stoke City U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Gateshead the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Gateshead vs Stoke City U21 played?
Gateshead vs Stoke City U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gateshead and Stoke City U21

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