Gateshead vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs Barrow?
Barrow starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,693).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gateshead vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gateshead
4-3-3- 21M. Spellman
- 7J. Hiwula
- 29F. Issaka
- 4Josh Home
- 20F. John
- 25A. McCalmont
- 5A. Lankshear
- 3D. Ferguson
- 28H. Holgate
- 6Jack Robinson
- 12P. Jameson
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Barrow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Worthing(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gateshead wins, 2 draws, 2 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2019 | Gateshead 0-2 Barrow | National League |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Barrow 1-2 Gateshead | National League |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Barrow 1-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Nov 21, 2017 | Gateshead 1-2 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Gateshead 4-1 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Barrow 0-0 Gateshead | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 24th in National League (4 points from 13 matches) and Barrow sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
A question about Gateshead vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs Barrow played?
- Gateshead vs Barrow is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.