Gavião vs Parauapebas: prediction and stats
Paraense A3Semi-finalsKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá, Pará
The Footlab AI model makes Gavião the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Parauapebas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gavião wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gavião vs Parauapebas?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Gavião (1,488) and Parauapebas (1,511).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gavião vs Parauapebas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gavião
Not enough data to predict the Gavião lineup.
Parauapebas
Not enough data to predict the Parauapebas lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavião have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Parauapebas have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parauapebas(away) | 1-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Belenense(home) | 1-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Belenense(away) | 0-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altamira(away) | 1-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Parauapebas(home) | 2-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gavião(home) | 0-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sport Belem(away) | 1-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Altamira(home) | 8-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gavião(away) | 2-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Altamira(away) | 2-1 | Paraense A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Gavião wins, 1 draw, 0 Parauapebas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parauapebas 0-1 Gavião | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gavião 2-2 Parauapebas | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Parauapebas 0-1 Gavião | Paraense A3 |
Last archived meeting: Parauapebas vs Gavião on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gavião score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Parauapebas score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavião | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Parauapebas | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gavião sit 1st in Paraense A3 (10 points from 4 matches) and Parauapebas sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gavião | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Parauapebas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Gavião vs Parauapebas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gavião vs Parauapebas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gavião the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Parauapebas.
- Where and when is Gavião vs Parauapebas played?
- Gavião vs Parauapebas is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, in the Paraense A3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.