Pinheirense vs Tesla: prediction and stats
Paraense A3Semi-finalsKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pinheirense the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tesla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pinheirense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinheirense vs Tesla?
On Elo ratings, Pinheirense has 1,517 points and Tesla 1,498.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pinheirense vs Tesla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pinheirense
Not enough data to predict the Pinheirense lineup.
Tesla
Not enough data to predict the Tesla lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pinheirense have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Tesla have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tesla(away) | 0-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vénus(home) | 1-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tesla(away) | 2-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Paraense SC(home) | 1-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tesla(home) | 1-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pinheirense(home) | 2-0 | Paraense A3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pedreira(away) | 1-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Paraense SC(away) | 3-1 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pinheirense(home) | 2-2 | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Paraense SC(home) | 0-1 | Paraense A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Pinheirense wins, 2 draws, 1 Tesla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tesla 2-0 Pinheirense | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tesla 2-2 Pinheirense | Paraense A3 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pinheirense 1-1 Tesla | Paraense A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinheirense score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tesla score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinheirense | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Tesla | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pinheirense sit 6th in Paraense A3 (6 points from 4 matches) and Tesla sit 7th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pinheirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Tesla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Pinheirense vs Tesla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinheirense vs Tesla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pinheirense the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Tesla.
- Where and when is Pinheirense vs Tesla played?
- Pinheirense vs Tesla is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Paraense A3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.