Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Beşiktaş (2,115) and Galatasaray (2,158).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Galatasaray have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beşiktaş win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Galatasaray win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Galatasaray 1-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Beşiktaş 2-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Galatasaray 2-1 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Galatasaray 0-5 Beşiktaş | Super Cup |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Beşiktaş 0-1 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 11th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Galatasaray sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Galatasaray.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray played?
- Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray is played on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.