Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum
The Footlab model makes Çorum FK the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Çorum FK (1,921) and Kocaelispor (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Çorum FK have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Kocaelispor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Çorum FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kocaelispor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kocaelispor 2-0 Çorum FK | 1. Lig |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Çorum FK 0-2 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2024 | Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Çorum FK 1-1 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Kocaelispor 2-1 Çorum FK | 1. Lig |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Çorum FK 0-1 Kocaelispor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kocaelispor vs Çorum FK on Feb 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Çorum FK score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Çorum FK sit 15th in Süper Lig (1 points from 2 matches) and Kocaelispor sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?
- The Footlab model makes Çorum FK the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor played?
- Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor is played on November 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.