Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Gaziantep FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir?
Başakşehir starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,040 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gaziantep FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Başakşehir 5-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Başakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 3-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Gaziantep FK 0-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Başakşehir 2-0 Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gaziantep FK score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gaziantep FK sit 6th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Gaziantep FK.
- Where and when is Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir played?
- Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gaziantep Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.