Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab AI model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samsunspor wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Samsunspor (1,928) and Kasımpaşa (1,893).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samsunspor
4-1-4-1- 18M. Bayo
- 11E. Kılınç
- 4E. Watt
- 10T. Coulibaly
- 20Y. Kayan
- 5C. Yüksel
- 17L. Tómasson
- 2J. Mendes
- 34G. Guarino
- 22Y. Çift
- 1O. Kocuk
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 16A. Baldursson
- 17J. Rak-Sakyi
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 45A. Karapo
- 4A. Arous
- 1A. Gianniotis
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-4 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 1-5 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 4-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amed(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Samsunspor wins, 1 draw, 3 Kasımpaşa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 4-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 3-0 Samsunspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 0-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Samsunspor 0-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Samsunspor 0-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Kasımpaşa 1-4 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 17th in Süper Lig (4 points from 8 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 4 |
A question about Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Samsunspor vs Kasımpaşa is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.