Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Bidezarra. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra?
On Elo ratings, Gazte Berriak has 1,779 points and Bidezarra 1,707.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gazte Berriak
Not enough data to predict the Gazte Berriak lineup.
Bidezarra
Not enough data to predict the Bidezarra lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Gazte Berriak have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Bidezarra have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cantolagua(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gazte Berriak score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 6; Bidezarra score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazte Berriak | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3 | 2/6 | 1/6 |
| Bidezarra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gazte Berriak sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (13 points from 6 matches) and Bidezarra sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gazte Berriak | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 | Bidezarra | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gazte Berriak the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Bidezarra.
- Where and when is Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra played?
- Gazte Berriak vs Bidezarra is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.