GC Mascara vs RC Arba: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Aoued Meflah, Mascara
The Footlab model makes GC Mascara the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for RC Arba. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GC Mascara vs RC Arba?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate GC Mascara (1,616) and RC Arba (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GC Mascara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; RC Arba have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | RC Kouba(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Usm El Harrach(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | MC Saida(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | WA Mostaganem(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | RC Arba(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | JS El Biar(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Béchar Djedid(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Témouchent(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | CRB Adrar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | GC Mascara(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 GC Mascara win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 RC Arba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | GC Mascara 2-1 RC Arba | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | RC Arba 0-0 GC Mascara | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RC Arba 2-0 GC Mascara | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | GC Mascara 2-1 RC Arba | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | GC Mascara 1-0 RC Arba | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | RC Arba 1-3 GC Mascara | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: GC Mascara vs RC Arba on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GC Mascara score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RC Arba score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Mascara | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| RC Arba | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GC Mascara sit 12th in Ligue 2 (31 points from 30 matches) and RC Arba sit 13th (29 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | GC Mascara | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 36 | 31 |
| 13 | RC Arba | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 41 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GC Mascara vs RC Arba?
- The Footlab model makes GC Mascara the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for RC Arba.
- Where and when is GC Mascara vs RC Arba played?
- GC Mascara vs RC Arba is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Aoued Meflah, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.