MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade 13 Avril 1958, Saïda
The Footlab model makes MC Saida the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for WA Mostaganem. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate MC Saida (1,632) and WA Mostaganem (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MC Saida have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; WA Mostaganem have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | JS Tixeraine(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | WA Mostaganem(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | GC Mascara(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASM Oran(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Koléa(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Usm El Harrach(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | MC Saida(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | ASM Oran(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | GC Mascara(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Tiaret(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 MC Saida win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 WA Mostaganem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | WA Mostaganem 1-2 MC Saida | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | MC Saida 2-0 WA Mostaganem | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | MC Saida 2-2 WA Mostaganem | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | WA Mostaganem 1-1 MC Saida | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: WA Mostaganem vs MC Saida on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MC Saida score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; WA Mostaganem score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Saida | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| WA Mostaganem | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MC Saida sit 11th in Ligue 2 (34 points from 30 matches) and WA Mostaganem sit 10th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | WA Mostaganem | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | MC Saida | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem?
- The Footlab model makes MC Saida the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for WA Mostaganem.
- Where and when is MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem played?
- MC Saida vs WA Mostaganem is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade 13 Avril 1958, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.