Geestemünde vs Grohn: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 6Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for Grohn. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Grohn?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,695) and Grohn (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Grohn have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 12th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 2 matches) and Grohn sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Geestemünde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Grohn?
- The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for Grohn.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Grohn played?
- Geestemünde vs Grohn is played on September 13, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.