Geestemünde vs Oberneuland: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 24Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, Bremerhaven
The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Oberneuland. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geestemünde vs Oberneuland?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Geestemünde (1,692) and Oberneuland (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geestemünde have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Oberneuland have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union Bremen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 5, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Geestemünde win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Oberneuland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Geestemünde 2-1 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Oberneuland 0-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Oberneuland 2-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Geestemünde 4-1 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Geestemünde 1-4 Oberneuland | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Oberneuland 4-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Oberneuland on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 15; Oberneuland score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Oberneuland | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geestemünde sit 13th in Oberliga - Bremen (1 points from 3 matches) and Oberneuland sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Oberneuland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geestemünde vs Oberneuland?
- The Footlab model makes Geestemünde the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Oberneuland.
- Where and when is Geestemünde vs Oberneuland played?
- Geestemünde vs Oberneuland is played on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at SPA Bürgerpark Platz 2, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.