Union Bremen vs Geestemünde: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 25Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rollsportstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Geestemünde. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Bremen vs Geestemünde?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Union Bremen (1,769) and Geestemünde (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Bremen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Geestemünde have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vatan Sport(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Union Bremen(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union Bremen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Geestemünde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde 4-4 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Union Bremen 3-2 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Geestemünde 3-0 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Union Bremen 1-5 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Union Bremen 1-1 Geestemünde | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Geestemünde 4-1 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Geestemünde vs Union Bremen on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geestemünde score 2.1 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Geestemünde | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Bremen sit 7th in Oberliga - Bremen (5 points from 3 matches) and Geestemünde sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Geestemünde | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Bremen vs Geestemünde?
- The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Geestemünde.
- Where and when is Union Bremen vs Geestemünde played?
- Union Bremen vs Geestemünde is played on April 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rollsportstadion, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.