Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Gençlerbirliği S.K. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Gençlerbirliği S.K. (1,935) and Kasımpaşa (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gençlerbirliği S.K. have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 13, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kasımpaşa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 3-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3-2 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Kasımpaşa 0-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-1 Kasımpaşa | Türkiye Kupası |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2-1 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Kasımpaşa 2-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gençlerbirliği S.K. sit 1st in Süper Lig (6 points from 2 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab model makes Gençlerbirliği S.K. the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Kasımpaşa is played on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.