Samsunspor vs Çorum FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Çorum FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
Samsunspor starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Çorum FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Samsunspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Çorum FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | Samsunspor 6-1 Çorum FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Çorum FK 2-1 Samsunspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Samsunspor vs Çorum FK on Mar 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Çorum FK score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Çorum FK | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Çorum FK sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?
- The Footlab model makes Samsunspor the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Çorum FK.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Çorum FK played?
- Samsunspor vs Çorum FK is played on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.