Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Erzurumspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,129 vs 1,951).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Erzurumspor FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Beşiktaş win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Erzurumspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Erzurumspor FK 2-4 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Beşiktaş 4-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Beşiktaş 2-3 Erzurumspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Jan 15, 2020 | Erzurumspor FK 3-2 Beşiktaş | Türkiye Kupası |
| Jan 25, 2019 | Beşiktaş 1-1 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Erzurumspor FK 1-3 Beşiktaş | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erzurumspor FK vs Beşiktaş on Apr 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 1.6 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 8th in Süper Lig (3 points from 1 matches) and Erzurumspor FK sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Erzurumspor FK.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK played?
- Beşiktaş vs Erzurumspor FK is played on September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.