Génesis vs Real Espana: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Roberto Suazo Córdova, La Paz
The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Génesis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Espana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Génesis vs Real Espana?
Real Espana starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Génesis vs Real Espana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Génesis
4-3-3- 11B. Felix
- 9E. Alderete
- 24C. Fonseca
- 15E. Maldonado
- 6R. Sander
- 33Daniel Melendez
- 2A. Vargas
- 44M. Gamboa
- 26C. Canales
- 27J. Figueroa
- 31R. A. Balanta
Real Espana
4-3-3- 11E. Hernández
- 18D. Vuelto
- 54M. Arana
- 6D. García
- 10J. Benavidez
- 2J. Ramos
- 25M. Pereira
- 5F. Flores
- 28C. Mejía
- 39D. Cacho
- 23R. López
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Génesis have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Real Espana have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(away) | 3-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Olimpia(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olancho(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Juticalpa(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Platense FC(home) | 4-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 16, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estrella Roja(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Génesis win, 1 draw, 4 Real Espana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Espana 2-0 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Real Espana 2-1 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Génesis 1-2 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Real Espana 1-0 Génesis | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Génesis 1-1 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Génesis 2-0 Real Espana | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Real Espana vs Génesis on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Génesis score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Espana score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Génesis | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Espana | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Génesis sit 9th in Liga Nacional (11 points from 12 matches) and Real Espana sit 2nd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 9 | Génesis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Génesis vs Real Espana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Génesis vs Real Espana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Espana the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Génesis.
- Where and when is Génesis vs Real Espana played?
- Génesis vs Real Espana is played on November 5, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Córdova, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.