Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 13Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras, Choloma
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Choloma the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Choloma wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Atlético Choloma (1,540) and Atletico Independiente (1,558).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Choloma
4-3-3- 19Olvin Zamora
- 13Á. Villatoro
- 2K. Álvarez
- 29E. Florez
- 10J. Canales
- 11Alvarado
- 23H. Castillo
- 18J. Quejada
- 21J. Capeluto
- 28J. Barrios
- 24J. Pineda
Atletico Independiente
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Independiente lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Choloma have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Atletico Independiente have 2, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CD Olimpia(home) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Génesis(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella Roja(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lobos Upnfm(home) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olancho(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Juticalpa(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atlético Choloma wins, 0 draws, 1 Atletico Independiente win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Independiente 2-1 Atlético Choloma | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Independiente vs Atlético Choloma on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Choloma score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Independiente score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Choloma | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico Independiente | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Choloma sit 8th in Liga Nacional (13 points from 12 matches) and Atletico Independiente sit 10th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atlético Choloma | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 11 |
A question about Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Choloma the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Independiente.
- Where and when is Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente played?
- Atlético Choloma vs Atletico Independiente is played on November 5, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Rubén Deras, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.