Genk vs Anderlecht: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Anderlecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs Anderlecht?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Genk (2,030) and Anderlecht (2,024).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Anderlecht have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genk win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Anderlecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Genk 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Genk 1-3 Anderlecht | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 25, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Genk 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Anderlecht | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 9th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Anderlecht sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs Anderlecht?
- The Footlab model makes Genk the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Anderlecht.
- Where and when is Genk vs Anderlecht played?
- Genk vs Anderlecht is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.