Anderlecht vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Genk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Genk?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Anderlecht (2,025) and Genk (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Genk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | PAOK(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Anderlecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Genk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Genk 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Genk 1-3 Anderlecht | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 25, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Genk 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Genk | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 9th in Jupiler Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Genk sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Genk?
- The Footlab model makes Anderlecht the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Genk.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs Genk played?
- Anderlecht vs Genk is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.