Charleroi vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charleroi vs Lommel United?
Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charleroi vs Lommel United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Lommel United
4-2-3-1- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
- 15L. Schoofs
- 10T. Reyners
- 11S. Appuah
- 7J. Talvitie
- 6J. Pelupessy
- 2J. van Duiven
- 4S. Adewoye
- 3T. Eyoma
- 8N. Rommens
- 23Matthias Pieklak
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charleroi have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lommel United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Charleroi win, 1 draw, 0 Lommel United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Charleroi 0-0 Lommel United | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs Charleroi on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charleroi sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (21 points from 8 matches) and Lommel United sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 10 | Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Charleroi vs Lommel United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charleroi vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is Charleroi vs Lommel United played?
- Charleroi vs Lommel United is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.