Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueMatchday 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Union St. Gilloise is a heavy favourite: 2,349 Elo points against 1,994, a 355-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-2-1- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 8A. Zorgane
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 20D. Aquino
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 23S. Michez
- 26D. Praet
- 3José Marsà
- 20K. Corbanie
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 1O. De Wolf
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; KV Mechelen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 5-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Union St. Gilloise wins, 2 draws, 1 KV Mechelen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 3-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | KV Mechelen 0-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union St. Gilloise score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union St. Gilloise sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (29 points from 11 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
A question about Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen played?
- Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.