Standard Liege vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Genk?
Genk starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,088 vs 1,979).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Standard Liege vs Genk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Standard Liege
4-3-3- 11A. Abid
- 10D. Eckert Ayensa
- 17Bernard Nguene
- 94C. Nielsen
- 22A. Trouillet
- 84R. Touzghar
- 20I. Karamoko
- 25I. Hautekiet
- 13M. Fossey
- 3G. Mortensen
- 1M. Epolo
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Genk have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege wins, 2 draws, 2 Genk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Genk 1-1 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Genk 0-3 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Standard Liege 2-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Genk 2-1 Standard Liege | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liege vs Genk on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 9th in Jupiler Pro League (11 points from 8 matches) and Genk sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Standard Liege vs Genk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs Genk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Standard Liege.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs Genk played?
- Standard Liege vs Genk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.