Gent vs Cercle Brugge: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Planet Group Arena, Gent
The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gent vs Cercle Brugge?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Gent (1,981) and Cercle Brugge (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gent have 4 wins, 10 draws and 1 defeats; Cercle Brugge have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gent win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cercle Brugge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Gent 0-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 1-3 Gent | Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 2-4 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Gent 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 2-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Gent 1-2 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Gent vs Cercle Brugge on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gent sit 5th in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Cercle Brugge sit 13th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gent vs Cercle Brugge?
- The Footlab model makes Gent the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Gent vs Cercle Brugge played?
- Gent vs Cercle Brugge is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Group Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.