Match

OH Leuven vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee

OH LeuvenSt. Truiden

The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?

St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,093 vs 1,959).

33%25%42%
OH Leuven winDrawSt. Truiden win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for OH Leuven vs St. Truiden

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

OH Leuven

3-4-3
  1. 18R. Mirisola
  2. 21W. Balikwisha
  3. 7E. Addai
  1. 99D. Opoku
  2. 6W. George
  3. 8S. Schrijvers
  4. 26T. Ogiwara
  1. 34R. Nyakossi
  2. 5J. Lawrence
  3. 28E. Pletinckx
  1. 1D. van den Heuvel

St. Truiden

4-2-3-1
  1. 19F. Soelle Soelle
  1. 8A. Sissako
  2. 10I. Sebaoui
  3. 18N. Ishiwatari
  4. 11N. Mbuku
  5. 14R. Merlen
  1. 4K. Takai
  2. 3T. Hata
  3. 23J. Pupe
  4. 26V. Musliu
  1. 16L. Kokubo

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

OH Leuven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026St. Truiden(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 24, 2026Lommel United(home)2-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 17, 2026Francs Borains(home)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Union St. Gilloise(away)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)2-0Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026OH Leuven(home)1-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Club Brugge KV(away)2-3Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2026FC Midtjylland(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Lommel United(home)4-1Cup
Oct 15, 2026Saburtalo(home)2-0UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OH Leuven wins, 1 draw, 3 St. Truiden wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026St. Truiden 1-2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Jan 18, 2026St. Truiden 1-0 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Nov 23, 2025OH Leuven 1-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Mar 16, 2025OH Leuven 3-2 St. TruidenJupiler Pro League
Sep 15, 2024St. Truiden 2-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
May 17, 2024St. Truiden 1-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs OH Leuven on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
OH Leuven1.32.038/159/15
St. Truiden1.91.748/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

OH Leuven sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 10 matches) and St. Truiden sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14OH Leuven1023510179
15St. Truiden1022618218

A question about OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for OH Leuven.
Where and when is OH Leuven vs St. Truiden played?
OH Leuven vs St. Truiden is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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