OH Leuven vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; St. Truiden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OH Leuven win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 St. Truiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | OH Leuven 3-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 17, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | OH Leuven 1-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs OH Leuven on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 16th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs St. Truiden played?
- OH Leuven vs St. Truiden is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.