OH Leuven vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,093 vs 1,959).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for OH Leuven vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 18R. Mirisola
- 21W. Balikwisha
- 7E. Addai
- 99D. Opoku
- 6W. George
- 8S. Schrijvers
- 26T. Ogiwara
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 5J. Lawrence
- 28E. Pletinckx
- 1D. van den Heuvel
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 19F. Soelle Soelle
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 18N. Ishiwatari
- 11N. Mbuku
- 14R. Merlen
- 4K. Takai
- 3T. Hata
- 23J. Pupe
- 26V. Musliu
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OH Leuven wins, 1 draw, 3 St. Truiden wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-0 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | OH Leuven 1-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | OH Leuven 3-2 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | St. Truiden 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 17, 2024 | St. Truiden 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: St. Truiden vs OH Leuven on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 10 matches) and St. Truiden sit 15th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | St. Truiden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 8 |
A question about OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs St. Truiden played?
- OH Leuven vs St. Truiden is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.