KV Mechelen vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1. If KV Mechelen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Lommel United?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (2,004) and Lommel United (2,042).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KV Mechelen vs Lommel United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 23S. Michez
- 26D. Praet
- 3José Marsà
- 20K. Corbanie
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 1O. De Wolf
Lommel United
4-2-3-1- 9Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
- 15L. Schoofs
- 11S. Appuah
- 6J. Pelupessy
- 41S. Nypan
- 7J. Talvitie
- 4S. Adewoye
- 2J. van Duiven
- 3T. Eyoma
- 47T. Gooijer
- 23Matthias Pieklak
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 07:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lommel United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gent(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KV Mechelen wins, 2 draws, 2 Lommel United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United 0-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 23, 2023 | KV Mechelen 0-4 Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Lommel United 1-1 KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | KV Mechelen 3-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Lommel United 0-3 KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2018 | KV Mechelen 1-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs KV Mechelen on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 11th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 11 matches) and Lommel United sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
A question about KV Mechelen vs Lommel United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab AI model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Lommel United played?
- KV Mechelen vs Lommel United is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.