KV Mechelen vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Malines
The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Lommel United?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate KV Mechelen (1,886) and Lommel United (1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KV Mechelen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lommel United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 KV Mechelen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lommel United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | KV Mechelen 0-4 Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Lommel United 1-1 KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | KV Mechelen 3-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Lommel United 0-3 KV Mechelen | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2018 | KV Mechelen 1-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Lommel United on Mar 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KV Mechelen sit 14th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 3 matches) and Lommel United sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KV Mechelen vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab model makes KV Mechelen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is KV Mechelen vs Lommel United played?
- KV Mechelen vs Lommel United is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.